Nordic Numbers

Come Nord Out

Championship Predictions Methodology

Overview Championship predictions use the same core methodology as race-picks but with key differences: Probability only - No points predictions are …

Elo Calculations Methodology

Overview Elo ratings are calculated for all winter sports using a multi-player extension of the standard Elo formula. The system tracks athlete …

Race Picks Methodology

BLUF Race predictions use Generalized Additive Models (GAMs) with BIC-optimized feature selection. Key predictors are Elo rating percentages …

Weekly Recap Methodology

Overview The weekly recap system provides three key analytical components for tracking World Cup season progress: Elo Change Tracking - Monitors …

This post is used to serve as an explanation for what Elo ratings are and how they are used in this site. What is Elo? How is it calculated? How is it …

Alpine Biathlon Cross-Country Nordic Combined Biathlon

Bored Data Scientist in Washington DC. Perenniel American Birkebeiner skier, and devout club runner